Dynamical understanding of “windows of forecast opportunity” (A08)

• Subject Area: Atmospheric Science
• Term: from 2019 to 2024
• Project identifier: Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG) - Project number 257899354

Teleconnections link the stratosphere and organized convection in the tropics to midlatitude weather, and most notably to persistent weather conditions that may lead to high-impact weather events. Under certain circumstances, these teleconnections imply “windows of forecast opportunity”, i.e., longer than usual predictability. Understanding of when such opportunities can indeed be realized, however, is incomplete. To better exploit the predictability potential in the future, this project seeks process-based understanding of the underlying teleconnections and how they constraint the growth of forecast errors.

• DFG Programme: CRC/Transregios
• Subproject of: TRR 165: Waves to Weather
• Applicant Institution: Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München
• Project Heads: Professor Dr. Christian Grams; Privatdozent Dr. Michael Riemer; Professor Dr. Volkmar Wirth