SFB 884: Political Economy of Reforms
Humanities
Final Report Abstract
The SFB 884 was established to better understand why reforms often are not implemented although it is widely believed that they would benefit society. For example, experts regularly provide reminders of the need to address the worldwide challenges of inequality, climate change, aging population, (youth) unemployment etc., but reforms that address these issues were rarely carried out. One explanation is that reforms are no static, discrete events, but result from complex decision-making processes over time in an institutional environment that involves area-specific actors. Thus, to better understand reform processes, the SFB 884 applied a more fine-grained perspective that considers the dynamic nature of reform processes, the involvement of a multitude of actors within specific areas and different institutional environments. The research activities of the SFB 884 were divided into three project groups: Project group A focused on the micro-foundations of reforms and examined the formation of reform preferences and attitudes that determine the feasibility of reforms. Project group B studied the empirical evaluation of reforms in different area-specific environments and developed new econometric methods. Project group C studied the role of different types of actors by examining procedural characteristics of reform-making processes. These research groups were connected via a joint data center that hosted the German Internet Panel (GIP) which served – in addition to quantitative text analysis – as the main data generator for the research activities of the SFB 884 and allowed for experimental and causal analysis of reform processes. Research output of the SFB 884 includes theoretical and empirical analyses that help understand individual and collective decision-making on reforms as well as the development of methodological tools that help quantify and analyze complex reform processes. The SFB’s research findings confirm the initial claim that a more fine-grained analysis is necessary to understand reform processes. There are many factors that prevent reforms that would benefit society. However, if we better understand the necessary conditions and dynamics of these processes, it is more likely that reforms take place. For example, politicians are responsive to public opinion, and we found that public opinion varies significantly over time and areas, which affects reform feasibility. Perceptions of compliance with the rule of law, distributional and fairness concerns, or potential compensation of reform losers are major hurdles for reform feasibility. Furthermore, it is important to consider the whole chain of reform-making processes and their implementation. Depending on the area, there is a need for fine-tuning to guarantee that reforms have the intended effects. For example, while coalition governments need to compromise on reforms at the outset of coalition formation, the conditions for implementation can change over time, in particular when election day approaches. Methodologically, the SFB not only implemented the GIP as a new tool for data generation of reform processes, but it also developed quantitative text analysis, automated video analysis, digital trace data from social media platforms, online browsers, and smartphones to provide high-quality data which, together with novel econometric techniques, allows for a better measurement and understanding of reform processes.
Publications
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Institutional Foundations of Legislative Speech. American Journal of Political Science, 56(3), 520-537.
Proksch, Sven‐Oliver & Slapin, Jonathan B.
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Political competition and Mirrleesian income taxation: A first pass. Journal of Public Economics, 103, 1-14.
Bierbrauer, Felix J. & Boyer, Pierre C.
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Tax and the city — A theory of local tax competition. Journal of Public Economics, 106, 89-100.
Janeba, Eckhard & Osterloh, Steffen
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The Strategic Nature of Compliance: An Empirical Evaluation of Law Implementation in the Central Monitoring System of the European Union. American Journal of Political Science, 58(1), 246-263.
König, Thomas & Mäder, Lars
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The Structure of Utility in Spatial Models of Voting. American Journal of Political Science, 57(4), 1008-1028.
Carroll, Royce; Lewis, Jeffrey B.; Lo, James; Poole, Keith T. & Rosenthal, Howard
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A Common Left-Right Scale for Voters and Parties in Europe. Political Analysis, 22(2), 205-223.
Lo, James; Proksch, Sven-Oliver & Gschwend, Thomas
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Ideological Clarity in Multiparty Competition: A New Measure and Test Using Election Manifestos. British Journal of Political Science, 46(3), 591-610.
Lo, James; Proksch, Sven-Oliver & Slapin, Jonathan B.
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Leadership Competition and Disagreement at Party National Congresses. British Journal of Political Science, 46(3), 611-632.
Greene, Zachary & Haber, Matthias
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Legislative Gridlock and Bureaucratic Politics in the European Union. British Journal of Political Science, 45(4), 777-797.
Junge, Dirk; König, Thomas & Luig, Bernd
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Treatment Evaluation With Multiple Outcome Periods Under Endogeneity and Attrition. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 109(508), 1697-1711.
Frölich, Markus & Huber, Martin
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Efficiency, Welfare, and Political Competition *. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 131(1), 461-518.
Bierbrauer, Felix J. & Boyer, Pierre C.
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How Unemployment Experience Affects Support for the Welfare State: A Real Panel Approach. European Sociological Review, 32(1), 81-92.
Naumann, Elias; Buss, Christopher & Bähr, Johannes
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Inference on Causal Effects in a Generalized Regression Kink Design. Econometrica, 83(6), 2453-2483.
Card, David; Lee, David S.; Pei, Zhuan & Weber, Andrea
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International Interventions to Build Social Capital: Evidence from a Field Experiment in Sudan. American Political Science Review, 109(3), 427-449.
AVDEENKO, ALEXANDRA & GILLIGAN, MICHAEL J.
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Divided we reform? Evidence from US welfare policies. Journal of Public Economics, 142, 24-38.
Bernecker, Andreas
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Fiscal rules and compliance expectations – Evidence for the German debt brake. Journal of Public Economics, 142, 11-23.
Heinemann, Friedrich; Janeba, Eckhard; Schröder, Christoph & Streif, Frank
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Let’s Just Agree to Disagree: Dispute Resolution Mechanisms in Coalition Agreements. The Journal of Politics, 78(4), 1264-1278.
Bowler, Shaun; Bräuninger, Thomas; Debus, Marc & Indridason, Indridi H.
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Party Policy Diffusion. American Political Science Review, 110(2), 397-410.
BÖHMELT, TOBIAS; EZROW, LAWRENCE; LEHRER, RONI & WARD, HUGH
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Direct and Indirect Treatment Effects–Causal Chains and Mediation Analysis with Instrumental Variables. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology, 79(5), 1645-1666.
Frölich, Markus & Huber, Martin
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Does Extending Unemployment Benefits Improve Job Quality?. American Economic Review, 107(2), 527-561.
Nekoei, Arash & Weber, Andrea
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Left/Right or U? Estimating the Dimensionality of National Party Competition in Europe. The Journal of Politics, 79(3), 1101-1105.
König, Thomas; Marbach, Moritz & Osnabrügge, Moritz
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Process or Candidate: The International Community and the Demand for Electoral Integrity. American Political Science Review, 111(3), 535-554.
BUBECK, JOHANNES & MARINOV, NIKOLAY
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Attitudes towards highly skilled and low‐skilled immigration in Europe: A survey experiment in 15 European countries. European Journal of Political Research, 57(4), 1009-1030.
NAUMANN, ELIAS; STOETZER LUKAS F. & PIETRANTUONO, GIUSEPPE
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Electoral Accountability and Interdistrict Competition. American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, 10(3), 143-176.
Zudenkova, Galina
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Fiscal competition and public debt. Journal of Public Economics, 168, 47-61.
Janeba, Eckhard & Todtenhaupt, Maximilian
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Party discipline and government spending: Theory and evidence. Journal of Public Economics, 164, 139-152.
Curto-Grau, Marta & Zudenkova, Galina
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Strategic delegation and international permit markets: Why linking May fail. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 92, 244-250.
Habla, Wolfgang & Winkler, Ralph
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Electoral Cycles in Government Policy Making: Strategic Timing of Austerity Reform Measures in Western Europe. British Journal of Political Science, 51(1), 331-352.
Strobl, Daniel; Bäck, Hanna; Müller, Wolfgang C. & Angelova, Mariyana
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Linear Voting Rules. Econometrica, 87(6), 2037-2077.
Grüner, Hans Peter & Tröger, Thomas
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Resist to Commit: Concrete Campaign Statements and the Need to Clarify a Partisan Reputation. The Journal of Politics, 81(1), 15-32.
Eichorst, Jason & Lin, Nick C. N.
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Sometimes Less Is More: Censorship, News Falsification, and Disapproval in 1989 East Germany. American Journal of Political Science, 64(3), 682-698.
Gläßel, Christian & Paula, Katrin
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Who Settles Disputes? Treaty Design and Trade Attitudes Toward the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP). International Organization, 73(4), 881-900.
Hahm, Hyeonho; König, Thomas; Osnabrügge, Moritz & Frech, Elena
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Why Underachievers Dominate Secret Police Organizations: Evidence from Autocratic Argentina. American Journal of Political Science, 64(4), 791-806.
Scharpf, Adam & Gläßel, Christian
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Poisson reduced-rank models with an application to political text data. Biometrika, 108(2), 455-468.
Jentsch, Carsten; Lee, Eun Ryung & Mammen, Enno
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Social preferences and political attitudes: An online experiment on a large heterogeneous sample. Journal of Public Economics, 182, 104076.
Kerschbamer, Rudolf & Müller, Daniel
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The Wald Test of Common Factors in Spatial Model Specification Search Strategies. Political Analysis, 29(2), 193-211.
Juhl, Sebastian
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Agenda Control and Timing of Bill Initiation: A Temporal Perspective on Coalition Governance in Parliamentary Democracies. American Political Science Review, 116(1), 231-248.
KÖNIG, THOMAS; LIN, NICK; LU, XIAO; SILVA, THIAGO N.; YORDANOVA, NIKOLETA & ZUDENKOVA, GALINA
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From German Internet Panel to Mannheim Corona Study: Adaptable probability-based online panel infrastructures during the pandemic. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A: Statistics in Society, 185(3), 773-797.
Cornesse, Carina; Krieger, Ulrich; Sohnius, Marie-Lou; Fikel, Marina; Friedel, Sabine; Rettig, Tobias; Wenz, Alexander; Juhl, Sebastian; Lehrer, Roni; Möhring, Katja; Naumann, Elias; Reifenscheid, Maximiliane & Blom, Annelies G.
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Government dominance and the role of opposition in parliamentary democracies. European Journal of Political Research, 62(2), 594-611.
KÖNIG, THOMAS; LIN, NICK & SILVA, THIAGO N.
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Constructive and Destructive Legislative Review: The Government-Opposition Divide in Parliamentary Oversight. The Journal of Politics, 85(1), 223-239.
Behrens, Lion; Nyhuis, Dominic & Gschwend, Thomas
