Project Details
Projekt
The variability and relevance of the intrinsic limit of predictability (A01)
Subject Area
Atmospheric Science
Term
since 2015
Project identifier
Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG) - Project number 257899354
Scale interactions fundamentally limit atmospheric predictability even if nearly perfect observation and computation methods for weather prediction were available. This project investigates the day-to-day variability of this intrinsic limit and its distance to our current forecasting capabilities by creating a large data set of numerical simulations and by applying novel quantitative diagnostics and theoretical findings. The project thereby contributes to the important question of how much room for improvement is left in numerical weather forecasting.
DFG Programme
CRC/Transregios
Subproject of
TRR 165:
Waves to Weather
Applicant Institution
Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München
Project Heads
Professor Dr. George Craig; Privatdozent Dr. Michael Riemer; Professor Dr. Holger Tost, until 6/2023; Professor Dr. Volkmar Wirth, until 6/2019
