Justifying Repression in Authoritarian Regimes of the Arab World: Official Framing and Target Audiences
Final Report Abstract
State officials in authoritarian regimes often attempt to hide or justify the repression they use to maintain power. While autocracy research usually analyses repression and legitimation as separate strategies, this project has conceptualized the crucial interconnection of how repression is justified, offering a differentiated perspective on the effects of repression on authoritarian persistence. The project developed a novel framework to comprehensively investigate the communication and justification of repression. It shed light firstly on how repression is justified under everyday authoritarianism, and secondly on the choice and reception of justifications in the repression of Arab uprising protests. The project was the first to systematically investigate justifications of repression in autocracies. The “Justifications of Repressive Incidents in Morocco and Tunisia” dataset compiled all repressive incidents reported by human rights organisations in the decade before the Arab uprisings. The event dataset published with GESIS is innovative in its disaggregation of multiple dimensions of repression. The analysis of the data revealed the importance of judicial repression in the two states’ legitimation of repression. The project further highlighted antiterrorism legislation as a legal justification for repression that was used in courts. Focusing on the Arab uprisings in Tunisia and Morocco in 2011, the project investigated communication about protest repression as well as the responses by activists and other domestic and international audiences. While both states employed some similar justifications, the overall communication about protest repression diverged, as did its reception by citizens and international actors. Attempts to justify repression in Tunisia failed and led to higher mobilization. In Morocco the division of labour between monarchical reform promises and ministerial defamation demobilized the middle classes, while the newly mobilized marginalized parts of the protest movement were repressed. The methods used included content and frame analysis of documents, speeches and laws, descriptive statistics, and field research with qualitative semi-structured interviews. The project results have been published in four peer-reviewed articles in renowned international outlets such as Contemporary Politics, Journal of Global Security Studies, and the Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Politics, above the envisaged number, likewise the policy briefs. A contribution in Mediterranean Politics has attracted over 20,000 views and is the journal’s most read article. The project contributed to research on MENA politics, provided novel insights into political communication in autocracies, and advanced scholarship on repression. The findings have also informed discussions with policymakers and the broader public, numerous media contributions, podcasts, and panel discussions.
Publications
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Repression durch Anti-Terror-Gesetze in der arabischen Welt. GIGA Focus Middle East Nr. 4. German Institute for Global and Area Studies
Josua, M.
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What Drives Diffusion? Anti-Terrorism Legislation in the Arab Middle East and North Africa. Journal of Global Security Studies, 6(3).
Josua, Maria
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The Arab uprisings and the return of repression. Mediterranean Politics, 26(5), 586-611.
Josua, Maria & Edel, Mirjam
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The Legitimation of Repression in Autocracies. Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Politics. Oxford University Press.
Josua, Maria
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“10 Jahre Arabischer Frühling – Was bleibt vom Aufbruch?“ Hermann Ehlers Academy, online, 19. Oktober 2021
Maria Josua
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“Protest Behavior During the Arab Spring, Protest & Moral Economy in Jordan, Arab Uprisings & Return of Repression”, POMEPS Middle East Political Science Podcasts S. 10, Ep. 14, 8. April 2021
Maria Josua
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“Research on Authoritarianism in German Academia”, Workshop “Struggles against authoritarianism”, FU’s Academy in Exile und IRGAC, Berlin, 30. September 2021
Maria Josua
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“The Arab Uprisings and the Return of Repression”. Kolloquium “Politics from below”, Institute for Protest and Movement Research, Berlin, 31. Mai 2021
Maria Josua & Mirjam Edel
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Justifications of Repression in Autocracies: An Empirical Analysis of the Maghreb, 2000–2010. GIGA Working Papers 331, August, German Institute for Global and Area Studies
Josua, M.
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Justifications of Repressive Incidents in Morocco and Tunisia. Dataset (JuRI)
Josua, M.
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Justifications of repression in autocracies: an empirical analysis of Morocco and Tunisia, 2000–2010. Contemporary Politics, 30(1), 108-136.
Josua, Maria
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Tunesiens Präsident Kais Saied: vom Hoffnungsträger zum Autokraten. GIGA Focus Middle East Nr. 4. German Institute for Global and Area Studies
Thyen, K. & Josua, M.
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“#ShrinkingSpaces: Freiheit und Zivilgesellschaft unter Druck. Die aktuelle Situation in Tunesien“, Friedrich Naumann Stiftung, online, 31. März 2023
Maria Josua
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“Media responsibility vis-à-vis autocratic discourse and disinformation in the digital age”, Workshops on Middle East Politics: Media, Information and Digitization, Universität Tübingen, 17. Juni 2023
Maria Josua
