Protected area effectiveness in the Caucasus during socioeconomic and political shocks
Agricultural Economics, Agricultural Policy, Agricultural Sociology
Final Report Abstract
Biodiversity loss is among the major global crises of the 21st century. An important tool to stop this loss is area-based conservation (e.g., protected areas), with a recent call by the Convention on Biological Diversity for its expansion to 30% of the global land and ocean area. Yet, measuring the effectiveness of protected areas is not trivial, and many protected areas have little to no impact on the ground. This is often due to socioeconomic and political conditions, which have rarely been considered in evaluations to date. In the PArCS project, we aimed to address these knowledge gaps by adopting a social-ecological approach to assess the effectiveness of protected areas in the southern Caucasus, considering the impacts of shocks (e.g., the collapse of the Soviet Union). Due to the COVID-19 pandemic and unexpected events for the Iranian project partners (anyhopefornature.info), we had to shift some of our plans, especially related to the collection of in-situ data and visiting the project sites. In WP1, we measured the effectiveness of protected areas against rangeland degradation in 52 protected areas, considering the impacts of shocks. Our results showed that protected areas were overall effective in lowering rangeland degradation, despite country-specific variations. To validate our rangeland degradation predictions, we tracked the movement of five cattle in the pastures of Borjomi National Park, Georgia. In WP2, we measured poaching pressure in Golestan National Park, Iran using ranger logbook data. We showed that despite low detection probability, poaching is widespread targeting wild ungulates, leading to recommendations on improving the quantity and quality of ranger patrols. We also conducted a metapopulation analysis of the endangered Persian leopard, showing the higher importance of the threat from poaching than prey depletion in the Caucasus. Within WP3, we developed a novel, outcome-oriented framework for assessing the effectiveness of protected areas. Rooted in the social-ecological systems perspective, we called for holistic assessments of the protected areas along ecological, social and interaction outcome dimensions. Finally, in WP4, we focused on conservation beyond protected areas and identified corridors for Persian leopards in northern Iran, showing that by ignoring the human-wildlife conflict, the permeability of the landscape could be overestimated. Based on this example, we developed the concept of ‘anthropogenic resistance’ as a means to incorporate the impacts of human behaviours on species movement in conservation planning. Overall, in the PArCS project, we advanced tools and frameworks for assessing area-based conservation measures and demonstrated them in a number of case studies in the Caucasus region. Our results are applicable to a range of ecosystems and geographies, and have high relevance to the science-policy interface.
Publications
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Identifying priority areas for restoring mountain ungulates in the Caucasus ecoregion. Conservation Science and Practice, 2(11).
Kuemmerle, Tobias; Bluhm, Hendrik; Ghoddousi, Arash; Arakelyan, Marine; Askerov, Elshad; Bleyhl, Benjamin; Ghasabian, Mamikon; Gavashelishvili, Alexander; Heidelberg, Aurel; Malkhasyan, Alexander; Manvelyan, Karen; Soofi, Mahmood; Yarovenko, Yuriy; Weinberg, Paul & Zazanashvili, Nugzar
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Mapping connectivity and conflict risk to identify safe corridors for the Persian leopard. Landscape Ecology, 35(8), 1809-1825.
Ghoddousi, Arash; Bleyhl, Benjamin; Sichau, Clara; Ashayeri, Delaram; Moghadas, Peyman; Sepahvand, Pooriya; Kh, Hamidi Amirhossein; Soofi, Mahmood & Kuemmerle, Tobias
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An Outcome-Oriented, Social–Ecological Framework for Assessing Protected Area Effectiveness. BioScience, 72(2), 201-212.
Ghoddousi, Arash; Loos, Jacqueline & Kuemmerle, Tobias
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Anthropogenic resistance: accounting for human behavior in wildlife connectivity planning. One Earth, 4(1), 39-48.
Ghoddousi, Arash; Buchholtz, Erin K.; Dietsch, Alia M.; Williamson, Matthew A.; Sharma, Sandeep; Balkenhol, Niko; Kuemmerle, Tobias & Dutta, Trishna
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Rear‐edge populations are important for understanding climate change risk and adaptation potential of threatened species. Conservation Science and Practice, 3(5).
Habibzadeh, Nader; Ghoddousi, Arash; Bleyhl, Benjamin & Kuemmerle, Tobias
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Reducing persecution is more effective for restoring large carnivores than restoring their prey. Ecological Applications, 31(5).
Bleyhl, Benjamin; Ghoddousi, Arash; Askerov, Elshad; Bocedi, Greta; Breitenmoser, Urs; Manvelyan, Karen; Palmer, Stephen C. F.; Soofi, Mahmood; Weinberg, Paul; Zazanashvili, Nugzar; Shmunk, Valerii; Zurell, Damaris & Kuemmerle, Tobias
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Changing patterns of conflict between humans, carnivores and crop-raiding prey as large carnivores recolonize human-dominated landscapes. Biological Conservation, 269, 109553.
Davoli, Marco; Ghoddousi, Arash; Sabatini, Francesco Maria; Fabbri, Elena; Caniglia, Romolo & Kuemmerle, Tobias
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Prioritizing livestock grazing right buyouts to safeguard Asiatic cheetahs from extinction. Conservation Science and Practice, 4(12).
Daberger, Michaela; Kuemmerle, Tobias; Khaleghi, Hamidi Amirhossein; Khalatbari, Leili; Abolghasemi, Hamed; Mirzadeh, Hamid Reza & Ghoddousi, Arash
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Quantifying the relationship between prey density, livestock and illegal killing of leopards. Journal of Applied Ecology, 59(6), 1536-1547.
Soofi, Mahmood; Qashqaei, Ali T.; Mousavi, Marzieh; Hadipour, Ehsan; Filla, Marc; Kiabi, Bahram H.; Bleyhl, Benjamin; Ghoddousi, Arash; Balkenhol, Niko; Royle, Andrew; Pavey, Chris R.; Khorozyan, Igor & Waltert, Matthias
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Understanding spatial patterns of poaching pressure using ranger logbook data to optimize future patrolling strategies. Ecological Applications, 32(5).
Ghoddousi, Arash; Van Cayzeele, Corinna; Negahdar, Pegah; Soofi, Mahmood; Kh., Hamidi Amirhossein; Bleyhl, Benjamin; Fandos, Guillermo; Khorozyan, Igor; Waltert, Matthias & Kuemmerle, Tobias
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Advancing protected area effectiveness assessments by disentangling social‐ecological interactions: A case study from the Luangwa Valley, Zambia. Conservation Science and Practice, 5(8).
Frietsch, Marina; Zafra‐Calvo, Noelia; Ghoddousi, Arash & Loos, Jacqueline
