Project Details
Projekt
The impact of external forcing on tropical climate variability in paleoclimate simulations and paleo-storylines during different periods of the late Quaternary (ExtTroPact)
Applicant
Dr. Sebastian Wagner
Subject Area
Oceanography
Term
since 2026
Project identifier
Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG) - Project number 569210069
The focus of the project ExtTroPact is on the imprint of specific external forcings (orbital, volcanic) on tropical climate variability in Earth System model simulations carried out by the fourth phase of the Paleoclimate Intercomparison Project (PMIP4) and newly created simulations in the context of the paleo-storyline approach for different periods of the late Quaternary. This is achieved e.g. by disentangling the spatial fingerprint of the various forcing factors for different climatic background conditions (Last Interglacial (LIG 127 k), Last Glacial Maximum (LGM 21 k), mid-Holocene, last millennium) over the tropical regions in the first part of the project. An important part will be on a consistent evaluation on how different climatic background conditions of the late Quaternary influenced the three tropical ocean basins and according modes of variability related to the El-Nino Southern Oscillation, the Indian Ocean Dipole and Atlantic tropical variability. A second part of the project is on new paleo-storyline simulations that will address questions focusing on extreme events, being of relevance for present and future climate change. In this context a new setup with the ICON-O ocean model with increased coastal resolution on an irregular grid over the Andaman region will be used. A special case of the 2014 coral bleaching event will be simulated and the Analog method will be employed to select for similar atmospheric conditions during different periods of the Late Quaternary represented by PMIP4 simulations. This will help to explore if and how atmospheric conditions under different background conditions (LIG 127 k, mid-Holocene and the last millennium) produced ocean heat waves over the region of the Andaman Sea. Additional storyline simulations will be carried out for volcanic events to test the response of the high resolved ICON-O ocean model on cold climate states and specific El Nino conditions during the last millennium. These results will be compared with modelling and empirical results of other SPP projects. The last part of the project ExtTroPact is on setting up pseudo proxy experiments with PMIP4 simulations, the newly created paleo-storyline simulations and global and regional simulations of two other SPP projects. The pseudo proxy experiments will use the coral sites in the real world and results of the numerical simulations will be used to test hemispheric and regional setups, with different coral networks used for the reconstructions of upper-ocean variables (e.g. sea surface temperatures, sea surface salinity). This will help to assess the quality of the methods used for empirical reconstructions and allows to test whether coral proxy networks used for climate field reconstructions trained with current observational data can be used for inferences on past climate and environmental states of the late Quaternary.
DFG Programme
Priority Programmes
Co-Investigator
Dr. Frauke Feser
